Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 266.485393 300.938062 339.224970 385.120703 438.894623 500.208257 575.844143
2025-05-18 210.323746 254.103692 307.031129 376.464920 466.247893 579.952673 737.327975
2025-05-25 187.485660 236.843698 299.978909 388.117236 510.354467 677.556633 930.182719
2025-06-01 166.794901 218.008444 286.432969 386.750754 533.952995 748.525343 1097.826099
2025-06-08 148.990745 200.159167 270.986094 379.114330 545.487719 801.620234 1246.894032
2025-06-15 137.007838 188.671856 262.518790 379.536455 567.759086 873.009611 1438.802260
2025-06-22 124.727973 175.307273 249.559442 370.966387 573.790085 917.923961 1593.119846
2025-06-29 116.109208 166.398471 242.135391 369.785806 591.112521 983.928948 1800.526571
2025-07-06 105.490947 153.470587 227.177262 354.398257 581.579515 999.655436 1910.963459
2025-07-13 102.421399 151.893191 229.852915 368.632384 626.224827 1123.673802 2280.099811
2025-07-20 99.909226 150.914207 233.284128 384.382995 675.737877 1266.231066 2732.656103
2025-07-27 95.107467 145.795243 229.287645 386.238230 698.539553 1357.606289 3089.455891
2025-08-03 88.597151 137.513590 219.447897 376.717761 698.246235 1401.169349 3343.473296
2025-08-10 82.973340 130.345070 210.994111 368.995620 700.790317 1452.252303 3637.814898
2025-08-17 80.763295 128.816911 212.332627 380.284923 745.395994 1611.502147 4309.200980
2025-08-24 76.934344 124.177935 207.627869 378.960639 761.887022 1705.068412 4814.890055
2025-08-31 72.616923 118.378909 200.317134 371.511615 763.259004 1759.929405 5214.389351
2025-09-07 69.674084 114.843859 196.957898 371.923448 783.151229 1868.995889 5858.876701
2025-09-14 65.889119 109.539063 189.831239 363.563723 780.594416 1914.885999 6285.299511
2025-09-21 63.241036 106.164186 186.186982 362.412034 795.852186 2016.281996 6991.444537
2025-09-28 59.221904 100.012482 176.690620 347.399132 773.685969 2000.372800 7184.561990
2025-10-05 58.621175 100.248041 179.873716 361.286820 829.233724 2240.693486 8699.713411
2025-10-12 58.156713 100.704144 183.521111 376.650541 891.560431 2522.291216 10645.321790